Companion files

The Distressed Debt Investor

A Practical Career and Implementation Guide to Special Situations, Restructuring and Recovery

Three Excel workbooks. Chapter 11 sets out what a recovery model must do: drive everything off a small number of visible assumptions, and build the waterfall so that changing enterprise value re-identifies the fulcrum by itself rather than by hand. These files are built to that specification, and they reproduce every recovery the book prints.

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All three workbooks

Download the ZIP61 KB

Or take them one at a time below.

The three workbooks

Conventions used throughout

Blue texta hardcoded input — you may edit these
Black texta formula — do not overtype these
Green texta link to another sheet
Yellow fillthe assumptions that carry the answer

Why the fulcrum finder is the one to open first

Chapter 11 is unusually specific about model construction: "build the waterfall so that changing EV automatically re-identifies the fulcrum; the tranche where value breaks should fall out of the arithmetic, not be hard-coded by hand, because the whole point is to watch it migrate as assumptions change."

That is what the status column does. Type one number into one cell and the label moves. At $450M the first lien is the boundary; at $600M the senior unsecured notes are the fulcrum at 60 cents; at $750M the break has dropped to the subordinated notes that a moment earlier were worth nothing.

A position sized on a fulcrum thesis is a position sized on one number. The sheet exists to make you look at how far that number can move before the thesis stops being true.

Opening the files

The workbooks open in Microsoft Excel, LibreOffice Calc, Google Sheets and Numbers. They use no macros and no add-ins, so nothing needs to be enabled or trusted. If your spreadsheet asks to update links on opening, decline — there are none.

Also by Julian R. Sterling

The other books with companion files. The full list of titles is on the author page.